MathDB
Accuracy P8

Source:

October 16, 2021
MOAA 2021Accuracy

Problem Statement

Will has a magic coin that can remember previous flips. If the coin has already turned up heads mm times and tails nn times, the probability that the next flip turns up heads is exactly m+1m+n+2\frac{m+1}{m+n+2}. Suppose that the coin starts at 00 flips. The probability that after 1010 coin flips, heads and tails have both turned up exactly 55 times can be expressed as mn\frac{m}{n} for relatively prime positive integers mm and nn. Compute m+nm+n.
Proposed by Nathan Xiong