MathDB
2023 MOAA Gunga P12

Source:

October 15, 2023
MOAA 2023

Problem Statement

Andy is planning to flip a fair coin 10 times. Among the 10 flips, Valencia randomly chooses one flip to exchange Andy's fair coin with her special coin which lands on heads with a probability of 14\frac{1}{4}. If the coin is exchanged in a certain flip, then that flip, along with all following flips will be performed with the special coin. The expected number of heads Andy flips can be expressed as mn\frac{m}{n} where mm and nn are positive integers. Find m+nm+n.
Proposed by Andy Xu