MathDB
Gunga P21

Source:

October 16, 2021
MOAA 2021Gunga

Problem Statement

King William is located at (1,1)(1, 1) on the coordinate plane. Every day, he chooses one of the eight lattice points closest to him and moves to one of them with equal probability. When he exits the region bounded by the x,yx, y axes and x+y=4x+y = 4, he stops moving and remains there forever. Given that after an arbitrarily large amount of time he must exit the region, the probability he ends up on x+y=4x+y = 4 can be expressed as mn\frac{m}{n} where mm and nn are relatively prime positive integers. Find m+nm+n.
Proposed by Andrew Wen