MathDB
4 machines proude balls at factory, percentages

Source: Spanish Mathematical Olympiad 1981 P7

December 23, 2022
combinatoricsprobability

Problem Statement

In a tennis ball factory there are 44 machines m1,m2,m3,m4m_1 , m_2 , m_3 , m_4, which produce, respectively, 10%10\%, 20%20\%, 30%30\% and 40%40\% of the balls that come out of the factory. The machine m1m_1 introduces defects in 1%1\% of the balls it manufactures, the machine m2m_2 in 2%2\%, m3m_3 in 4%4\% and m4m_4 in 15%15\%. Of the balls manufactured In one day, one is chosen at random and it turns out to be defective. What is the probability that Has this ball been made by the machine m3 m_3 ?