Lily pads and a Frog
Source: 2019 AIME II #2
March 22, 2019
AMCAIMEAIME IIprobability
Problem Statement
Lily pads lie in a row on a pond. A frog makes a sequence of jumps starting on pad . From any pad the frog jumps to either pad or pad chosen randomly and independently with probability . The probability that the frog visits pad is , where and are relatively prime positive integers. Find .