probability of wining a specific game in a casino
Source: Spanish Mathematical Olympiad 1993 P6
August 1, 2018
probabilitycombinatoricsgame
Problem Statement
A game in a casino uses the diagram shown. At the start a ball appears at . Each time the player presses a button, the ball moves to one of the adjacent letters with equal probability. The game ends when one of the following two things happens:
(i) The ball returns to , the player loses.
(ii) The ball reaches , the player wins.
Find the probability that the player wins and the expected duration of a game.