2015 Fall Team #5
Source:
March 26, 2022
combinatorics
Problem Statement
Felix is playing a card-flipping game. face-down cards are randomly colored, each with equal probability of being black or red. Felix starts at the st card. When Felix is at the th card, he guesses its color and then flips it over. For , if he guesses correctly, he moves onto the -th card. If he guesses incorrectly, he gains penalty points, the cards are replaced with newly randomized face-down cards, and he moves back to card to continue guessing. If Felix guesses the th card correctly, the game ends.
What is the expected number of penalty points Felix earns by the end of the game?