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2013 Harvard-MIT Mathematics Tournament
22
22
Part of
2013 Harvard-MIT Mathematics Tournament
Problems
(1)
2013 HMMT Guts #22: Guessing the Cards
Source:
3/26/2013
Sherry and Val are playing a game. Sherry has a deck containing
2011
2011
2011
red cards and
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2012
black cards, shuffled randomly. Sherry flips these cards over one at a time, and before she flips each card over, Val guesses whether it is red or black. If Val guesses correctly, she wins
1
1
1
dollar; otherwise, she loses
1
1
1
dollar. In addition, Val must guess red exactly
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2011
times. If Val plays optimally, what is her expected profit from this game?
HMMT